counterfactual-reasoning

Persistence, Causation and Counterfactuals

: We present a novel theory of nonmonotonic temporal reasoning. It is related to approaches based on causation, the main di erence being that in our ap- proach causal relations take a context argument which indicates under what circumstances they should hold. Our theory can handl...

Simulating Counterfactuals

Counterfactual inference considers a hypothetical intervention in a parallel world that shares some evidence with the factual world. If the evidence specifies a conditional dis- tribution on a manifold, counterfactuals may be analytically intractable. We present an algorithm for...